Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union meet on 24 May at 7:00 PM ET in an MLS regular-season fixture. The 30% implied probability for additional markets reflects uncertainty around team availability and form heading into late May, a period when fixture congestion and international commitments often reshape squad depth.

Philadelphia's recent trajectory carries weight here. The Union finished 2024 in mid-table form and have struggled with consistency in early 2025, whilst Inter Miami—despite their star-studded roster—have experienced uneven results outside their core attacking unit. Head-to-head records favour neither side decisively; their last five meetings show split results with no clear dominance. Suspension risk and injury status will be material: both clubs have had rotation demands from CONCACAF Champions Cup commitments in April and May, which typically depletes squad options for league fixtures immediately after. The absence of key defenders or midfielders would shift the calculus significantly.

Traders should monitor team news releases in the 48 hours before kick-off, particularly confirmation of availability for Miami's international contingent and Philadelphia's injury list. MLS fixture scheduling often sees late changes or squad adjustments announced via official club channels rather than traditional sports media. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 24 May, giving traders roughly 16 hours post-match to assess whether additional market offerings have been triggered. Recent MLS volatility around fixture-specific betting products suggests the 30% baseline reflects genuine ambiguity rather than consensus.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.