Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
76% | 24% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
76% | 24% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 213.5 | 76% |
| O/U 216.5 | 70% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 14.5 | 68% |
| O/U 219.5 | 65% |
| O/U 222.5 | 57% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | 56% |
| Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 224.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| O/U 226.5 | 49% |
| Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| O/U 227.5 | 47% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 229.5 | 44% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| O/U 230.5 | 42% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 232.5 | 37% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 32% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| O/U 235.5 | 31% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 34.5 | 31% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 30% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 18.5 | 28% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| Sion James: Points O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Sion James: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| O/U 238.5 | 26% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| O/U 241.5 | 21% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 19% |
| Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 18% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Spread -11.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 11% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
Market context
Market consensus: 76% chance of hawks vs. hornets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $87K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Hawks vs. Hornets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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