Cavaliers vs. Knicks

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Eastern Conference finals game is still live from the Knicks’ point of view after their 115-104 overtime comeback in Game 1, so a 0% YES price on the Cavaliers now reflects the market waiting for a concrete reason to re-rate a side that has already let a 22-point fourth-quarter lead slip. In comparable playoff spots, a team that drops the opener at home and does so in historic fashion is usually pushed back towards underdog pricing unless there is immediate injury news or a tactical adjustment that changes the series balance. The key issue is not the final margin alone but the way New York finished, outscoring Cleveland 44-11 across the fourth quarter and overtime.

For traders, the next move is driven by availability and any post-game update on Cleveland’s rotation, rather than the box score itself. ESPN’s Game 1 report highlighted Jalen Brunson’s 38 points and New York’s decision to attack James Harden in late-game actions, which is the sort of matchup note that tends to carry into the next game if Cleveland does not alter its coverage. Watch for injury designations, any minutes limits, and the status of the series schedule, because a short turnaround leaves less time for the Cavaliers to adjust scheme or recover if there is a knock. Donovan Mitchell’s post-game comments and any team release on whether Cleveland changes starters or defensive assignments are the immediate catalysts likely to move this market.

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Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.