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Rockets vs. Spurs

How the prediction market is pricing "Rockets vs. Spurs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 211.5 82% O/U 214.5 76% O/U 217.5 72% 1H Spread -2.5 71% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Rockets vs. Spurs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 211.582%
O/U 214.576%
O/U 217.572%
1H Spread -2.571%
O/U 220.566%
O/U 222.561%
Spread -2.560%
O/U 223.559%
O/U 225.556%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 4.555%
Spread -4.554%
O/U 226.554%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.553%
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.553%
O/U 227.552%
1H O/U 109.551%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Spread -5.550%
O/U 228.550%
1H Moneyline50%
Overtime?50%
Race to 1050%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.550%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 4.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.550%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.550%
Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 0.550%
Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 1.550%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 0.550%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 1.550%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 2.550%
De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.550%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 0.550%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 1.550%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 2.550%
Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.550%
Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.550%
Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.550%
Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.550%
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 4.550%
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 4.550%
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 9.550%
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 14.550%
Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.550%
Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.550%
Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.550%
Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.550%
Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.550%
Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.550%
Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 0.550%
Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 1.550%
Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 2.550%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.549%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.549%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 14.549%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 1.549%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 2.549%
1H Spread -3.548%
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.548%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.548%
De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.548%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.548%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.548%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.548%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.547%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.547%
Spread -6.546%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 9.546%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.546%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.545%
Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.545%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.545%
O/U 230.544%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.544%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 4.544%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.543%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.543%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.543%
Spread -7.542%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.542%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.541%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 9.541%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 19.541%
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.540%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.540%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 3.540%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.539%
O/U 233.538%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 14.538%
Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.538%
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 3.538%
Spread -9.537%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.537%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 7.537%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.537%
Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 3.537%
Rockets vs. Spurs36%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.536%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 9.536%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.536%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.536%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.536%
Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.536%
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.536%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.535%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.535%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 3.535%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.535%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.535%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.535%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.534%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.534%
Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.534%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.534%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.534%
Spread -10.533%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.533%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 16.533%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.533%
Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 2.533%
O/U 236.532%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.532%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.532%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 15.532%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 2.532%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.531%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.531%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.531%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.530%
Spread -12.528%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.528%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.528%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.528%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.528%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.528%
Spread -3.527%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.527%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.527%
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 1.527%
O/U 239.526%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.526%
De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.526%
De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.526%
Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.526%
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 2.526%
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.526%
Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.525%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.524%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.524%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.524%
Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.524%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.523%
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.523%
Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.523%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 3.522%
Spread -15.521%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.521%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.521%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.521%
Spread -6.520%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 14.520%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 7.520%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.520%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.520%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.520%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.519%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.518%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.518%
De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.518%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.517%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.517%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.517%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.517%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.517%
Spread -18.516%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 29.516%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 11.516%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.516%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 4.516%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.516%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.514%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 7.514%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.514%
Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.514%
Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.514%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 19.513%
De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.513%
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 14.513%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.513%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.513%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 7.512%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 9.512%
Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.512%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.512%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 24.511%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 9.511%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.511%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.511%
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 7.511%
Spread -21.510%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.510%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 19.510%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 39.510%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.510%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.510%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.510%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 9.510%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.510%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 11.510%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.510%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 29.59%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.59%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.59%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 13.59%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.59%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.59%
Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.59%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.59%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 24.58%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 34.58%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.58%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.58%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.58%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.57%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.57%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 24.56%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for Rockets vs. Spurs. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 9:30PM ET: If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postpone…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 211.5 at 82% for "Rockets vs. Spurs".

O/U 211.5 82% Other 18%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $93K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Rockets vs. Spurs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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