Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 44.5 | 94% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 92% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 92% |
| O/U 213.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 47.5 | 91% |
| O/U 215.5 | 89% |
| 2Q O/U 46.5 | 89% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 88% |
| Heat 1H O/U 49.5 | 88% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 87% |
| O/U 217.5 | 86% |
| 2Q O/U 48.5 | 85% |
| 4Q O/U 49.5 | 85% |
| Heat 1H O/U 51.5 | 84% |
| O/U 219.5 | 83% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 83% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 82% |
| O/U 221.5 | 81% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 81% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 80% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 80% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 78% |
| Heat 1H O/U 53.5 | 78% |
| O/U 223.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 77% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| O/U 225.5 | 74% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 74% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 71% |
| O/U 227.5 | 70% |
| Heat 1H O/U 55.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 68% |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) | 66% |
| O/U 229.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 66% |
| Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 63% |
| Heat O/U 118.5 | 63% |
| O/U 231.5 | 62% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 14.5 | 62% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| Pacers O/U 96.5 | 61% |
| Pacers O/U 98.5 | 61% |
| Pacers O/U 108.5 | 61% |
| Heat O/U 120.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| Heat O/U 116.5 | 60% |
| Pacers O/U 110.5 | 60% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| Pacers O/U 102.5 | 59% |
| Heat 1H O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| O/U 233.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 58% |
| Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 57% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| Spread -7.5 | 55% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Pacers O/U 104.5 | 55% |
| O/U 235.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| Pacers O/U 106.5 | 54% |
| Heat O/U 114.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 53% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 53% |
| Heat O/U 110.5 | 53% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 46.5 | 52% |
| Heat 1H O/U 59.5 | 52% |
| O/U 236.5 | 52% |
| Race to 20 | 51% |
| Race to 30 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 44.5 | 51% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 48.5 | 51% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 50.5 | 51% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Heat O/U 112.5 | 51% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Jarace Walker: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 237.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 49% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| Pacers O/U 114.5 | 48% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 47% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -9.5 | 46% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Heat O/U 124.5 | 45% |
| Jarace Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| O/U 239.5 | 44% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Heat O/U 134.5 | 44% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 17.5 | 43% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 43% |
| Heat O/U 132.5 | 43% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5 | 42% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 42% |
| Heat O/U 126.5 | 42% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 42% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 8.5 | 41% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 41% |
| Pacers O/U 120.5 | 41% |
| Pacers O/U 124.5 | 41% |
| Heat 1H O/U 61.5 | 41% |
| Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5 | 40% |
| Spread -11.5 | 40% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 40% |
| Heat O/U 122.5 | 40% |
| O/U 242.5 | 39% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5 | 39% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| Heat O/U 128.5 | 39% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 38% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Heat O/U 130.5 | 37% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| O/U 243.5 | 36% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 1H Moneyline | 33% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 33% |
| O/U 245.5 | 32% |
| Bobby Portis Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Heat 1H O/U 63.5 | 32% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| Jarace Walker: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -15.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Jarace Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 247.5 | 28% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 31.5 | 28% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 28% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Pacers vs. Heat | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5 | 27% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 68.5 | 25% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| O/U 249.5 | 24% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5 | 24% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 4Q O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Bobby Portis Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Heat 1H O/U 65.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| O/U 251.5 | 22% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Spread -19.5 | 21% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| O/U 253.5 | 19% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 19% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Heat 1H O/U 67.5 | 18% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Jarace Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -21.5 | 17% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 17% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 255.5 | 16% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 29.5 | 15% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -23.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Jarace Walker: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| O/U 257.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 13% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Heat 1H O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -25.5 | 11% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 49.5 | 11% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 11% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 11% |
| O/U 259.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 10% |
| Spread -27.5 | 9% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| O/U 261.5 | 9% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 8% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| 1Q O/U 70.5 | 8% |
| O/U 263.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -29.5 | 7% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -12.5 | 6% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 44.5 | 6% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 265.5 | 6% |
| Jarace Walker: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -31.5 | 5% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 5% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 267.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 4% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 4% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 4% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 4% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -22.5 | 3% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 3% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 3% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Spread -24.5 | 1% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 1% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 1% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of pacers vs. heat. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $824K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pacers vs. Heat. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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