Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 205.5 | 96% |
| O/U 207.5 | 95% |
| O/U 209.5 | 93% |
| 2Q O/U 47.5 | 93% |
| 4Q O/U 43.5 | 93% |
| Warriors O/U 98.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 92% |
| 3Q O/U 46.5 | 92% |
| Warriors O/U 100.5 | 91% |
| O/U 213.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 45.5 | 89% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 88% |
| 2Q O/U 49.5 | 88% |
| 3Q O/U 48.5 | 88% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 49.5 | 88% |
| Warriors O/U 102.5 | 88% |
| O/U 215.5 | 87% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 86% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 50.5 | 86% |
| O/U 217.5 | 85% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 83% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 52.5 | 83% |
| Warriors O/U 104.5 | 83% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 51.5 | 83% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5 | 82% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 47.5 | 82% |
| O/U 219.5 | 81% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 81% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 78% |
| Warriors O/U 106.5 | 78% |
| O/U 221.5 | 77% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 53.5 | 77% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 54.5 | 76% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 24.5 | 75% |
| O/U 223.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 49.5 | 74% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 73% |
| Warriors O/U 108.5 | 73% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 72% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 70% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 56.5 | 70% |
| O/U 225.5 | 69% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 68% |
| Warriors O/U 110.5 | 68% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 67% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 55.5 | 67% |
| O/U 227.5 | 66% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 66% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5 | 65% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 63% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| Warriors O/U 112.5 | 62% |
| O/U 229.5 | 61% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 58.5 | 61% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 58% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 231.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 0.5 | 55% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 0.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 55% |
| Lakers O/U 117.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5 | 54% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 54% |
| Lakers O/U 101.5 | 54% |
| Lakers O/U 103.5 | 54% |
| Lakers O/U 105.5 | 54% |
| Lakers O/U 107.5 | 54% |
| Lakers O/U 109.5 | 54% |
| Lakers O/U 111.5 | 54% |
| Lakers O/U 113.5 | 54% |
| Lakers O/U 115.5 | 54% |
| Warriors O/U 114.5 | 54% |
| O/U 233.5 | 53% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 52% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 60.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Warriors O/U 115.5 | 52% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Lakers O/U 118.5 | 51% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 234.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Georges Niang: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Warriors O/U 116.5 | 48% |
| O/U 235.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 47% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Georges Niang: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 119.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 121.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 123.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 125.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 127.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 129.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 131.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 45% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| Georges Niang: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 43% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| O/U 237.5 | 42% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| Warriors O/U 118.5 | 42% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 41% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 40% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 62.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 239.5 | 38% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 37% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 61.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Warriors O/U 120.5 | 35% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 241.5 | 34% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 34.5 | 33% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| O/U 243.5 | 31% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 64.5 | 30% |
| Warriors O/U 122.5 | 30% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 29% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| O/U 245.5 | 27% |
| Georges Niang: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 27% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -11.5 | 26% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5 | 25% |
| Warriors O/U 124.5 | 25% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 66.5 | 24% |
| O/U 247.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 65.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Warriors O/U 126.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| O/U 249.5 | 20% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 18% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 18% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Spread -15.5 | 17% |
| O/U 251.5 | 17% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 34.5 | 17% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 49.5 | 17% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Georges Niang: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 17% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 67.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Warriors O/U 128.5 | 16% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 39.5 | 15% |
| Georges Niang: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 68.5 | 15% |
| O/U 253.5 | 14% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Georges Niang: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Georges Niang: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 70.5 | 14% |
| Spread -12.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -29.5 | 13% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 13% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 13% |
| O/U 255.5 | 13% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 44.5 | 11% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 11% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| O/U 257.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 9% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| 1H O/U 136.5 | 9% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 8% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 8% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| O/U 259.5 | 8% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -23.5 | 7% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| O/U 261.5 | 7% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Georges Niang: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 6% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -18.5 | 5% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -22.5 | 4% |
| Spread -25.5 | 4% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 4% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Spread -24.5 | 2% |
| Spread -26.5 | 2% |
Market context
Lakers vs. Warriors. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 56% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-31T02:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $709K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Lakers vs. Warriors. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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