Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 228.5 | 73% |
| O/U 231.5 | 66% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| O/U 237.5 | 54% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 18.5 | 54% |
| Yves Missi: Points O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 54% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 238.5 | 51% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 34.5 | 51% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 239.5 | 49% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| O/U 240.5 | 46% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| O/U 241.5 | 45% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 242.5 | 43% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| O/U 244.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| O/U 245.5 | 36% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 247.5 | 31% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| O/U 250.5 | 27% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| O/U 253.5 | 21% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 256.5 | 17% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for Pelicans vs. Jazz. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 9:30PM ET: If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postpone…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $85K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pelicans vs. Jazz. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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