Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
78% | 22% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
78% | 22% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 209.5 | 78% |
| O/U 212.5 | 74% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 69% |
| O/U 215.5 | 68% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| O/U 218.5 | 61% |
| O/U 220.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 221.5 | 54% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 222.5 | 52% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 223.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 224.5 | 47% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | 45% |
| O/U 225.5 | 45% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| O/U 226.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 228.5 | 38% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| O/U 231.5 | 34% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 34% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 25.5 | 33% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 33% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| O/U 234.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 27% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 26% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| O/U 237.5 | 22% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 15% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
Market context
Market consensus: 78% chance of knicks vs. celtics. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". I…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Knicks vs. Celtics. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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