Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 95% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| O/U 211.5 | 89% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 85% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | 84% |
| O/U 213.5 | 84% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 84% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 84% |
| O/U 215.5 | 82% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| O/U 217.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 77% |
| Spread -4.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 76% |
| O/U 219.5 | 75% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 75% |
| Spread -5.5 | 73% |
| O/U 220.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 73% |
| O/U 221.5 | 71% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 223.5 | 67% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 67% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 67% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| O/U 225.5 | 63% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| O/U 226.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 227.5 | 59% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 59% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 58% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 58% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 228.5 | 56% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| O/U 229.5 | 54% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| O/U 230.5 | 52% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 52% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 51% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 231.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 233.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 46% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 45% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 41% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 41% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| O/U 236.5 | 40% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 40% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.5 | 37% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 37% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 36% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 239.5 | 34% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 34% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 33% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 33% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Spread -19.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 242.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 245.5 | 22% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 18% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 14% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 13% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -34.5 | 7% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -36.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
Market context
Spurs vs. Mavericks. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 84% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $377K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Spurs vs. Mavericks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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