Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 92% |
| O/U 30.5 | 88% |
| Cardinals O/U 10.5 | 88% |
| Cardinals O/U 12.5 | 88% |
| Cardinals O/U 13.5 | 88% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 87% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 86% |
| O/U 32.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 83% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| O/U 34.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| Cardinals O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 36.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Cardinals O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| O/U 40.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| O/U 41.5 | 59% |
| Cardinals O/U 20.5 | 58% |
| O/U 42.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | 55% |
| O/U 43.5 | 54% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| 1H Moneyline | 53% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| O/U 45.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Cardinals O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| O/U 46.5 | 43% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| O/U 47.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| O/U 48.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 38% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 17.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Cardinals O/U 26.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 35% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 52.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Cardinals O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 25% |
| O/U 54.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| O/U 58.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Cardinals O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Cardinals O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 13% |
| O/U 60.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Cardinals vs. Giants. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Cardinals vs. Giants. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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