Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 90% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 90% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 89% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 87% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 85% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 84% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 82% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 81% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 80% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 80% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 80% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 79% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 79% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 78% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 77% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 74% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 74% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 70% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 69% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 68% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 68% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 67% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 65% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 63% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 63% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 62% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 61% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 61% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 59% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 57% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 57% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 52% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 49% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 48% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 42% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 41% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 41% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 38% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 37% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 36% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 32% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 32% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 31% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 31% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 30% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 28% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 27% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 25% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 25% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 24% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 23% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 22% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 22% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 21% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 18% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 17% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 17% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 16% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 14% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 13% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 12% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 11% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 6% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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