Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano

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Market context

Bologna travel to the San Siro on 24 May 2026 for a final-day Serie A fixture against Inter Milan, with the 26% implied probability of a Bologna victory reflecting the substantial gap in squad quality and recent form between the sides. Inter have finished as Serie A runners-up or champions in each of the past four seasons, whilst Bologna secured European qualification last term but remain a mid-table outfit by historical standards. The current odds suggest bookmakers view this as a heavily favourable Inter encounter, though end-of-season mathematics occasionally produce anomalies when title-chasing sides rest key personnel or when lower-ranked clubs field full-strength lineups with nothing to play for.

Head-to-head records over the past decade show Inter winning roughly two-thirds of meetings, with Bologna's last victory at the San Siro occurring in 2016. Recent Serie A form will prove decisive: if Inter are chasing the scudetto on the final day, manager Simone Inzaghi typically deploys full-strength elevens, whereas a secured title or mathematical elimination could trigger rotation. Bologna's injury status—particularly among attacking midfielders and forward options—will determine whether they can sustain pressure in the opening half-hour. Suspension news for either side should emerge by mid-May; any absence of Inter's defensive anchors would materially shift the probability upwards.

Traders should monitor official team news releases from both clubs by Friday 22 May, fixture congestion affecting Inter's midweek commitments, and any late-season title race developments that might influence tactical selection. Weather conditions at the San Siro rarely favour underdogs, and Bologna's away record this season will provide concrete baseline expectations.

Methodology

This page reviews Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.