ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC

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Market context

Fiorentina host Atalanta in Serie A on Friday evening, with the visitors needing at least a point to secure European qualification and Fiorentina ending a disappointing league campaign at the Franchi. The current 35% yes price sits below several published match models: Sports Mole leans 1-2 Atalanta, while Football Whispers has 1-1, and both reflect a game where the away side is usually rated slightly stronger but the draw remains live. Atalanta are also the more efficient side on the table, with Forebet listing them seventh on 58 points against Fiorentina’s fifteenth-place 41, which helps explain why the market is not treating this as a straightforward home spot.

Line-up news matters here because both clubs are missing regulars, and Fiorentina’s absences are more damaging in attack and defence. FotMob lists Moise Kean, Tariq Lamptey, Luca Ranieri and Fabiano Parisi out, while Atalanta are only without Odilon Kossounou and Lorenzo Bernasconi. The same source projects Fiorentina in a 4-3-3 with Roberto Piccoli up front and Atalanta in a 3-4-1-2 around Charles De Ketelaere, Giacomo Raspadori and Nikola Krstovic, which suggests a competitive but not especially open match. Whoscored notes Atalanta travel knowing a win or draw secures Conference League football, a clear incentive that can firm their price if confirmed in the final team news.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.