Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
41% | 59% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
41% | 59% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| SS Lazio (-1.5) | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Pisa SC (-1.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| SS Lazio (-2.5) | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| Pisa SC (-2.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Lazio travel to Pisa on 24 May for a Serie A fixture with significant implications for both clubs' final-season positioning. Pisa finished 2024–25 in mid-table, whilst Lazio, despite inconsistent form through the campaign, remain competitive for European qualification. The 32% implied probability for "more markets" reflects uncertainty around whether additional betting options will be offered on this particular match—a common occurrence for lower-profile fixtures or those with limited commercial interest from bookmakers.
Historical precedent suggests that late-season Serie A matches between mid-ranking sides attract variable market depth. Fixtures involving Lazio typically generate robust secondary-market coverage given the club's profile, though Pisa's smaller commercial footprint means some bookmakers may restrict their offering to standard win–draw–loss markets only. Recent Serie A scheduling patterns show that Sunday morning fixtures (this match kicks off at 9:00 AM ET, 2:00 PM local time) occasionally receive lighter market treatment than evening slots, particularly when competing against concurrent fixtures in other European leagues.
Traders should monitor team news releases through the settlement window. Lazio's injury status—particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel—typically influences whether operators expand markets to include goal-scorer props or handicap bets. Pisa's recent form and any late suspensions could similarly affect market appetite. Bookmaker announcements usually arrive 48–72 hours before kick-off; absence of such announcements by 22 May would suggest a narrower market offering is likely.
Methodology
We track SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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