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SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

SSC Napoli 3 - 1 Arsenal FC 30% SSC Napoli 0 - 0 Arsenal FC 28% SSC Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal FC 28% SSC Napoli 3 - 0 Arsenal FC 25% Volume: $117K Liquidity: $71K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
30% 70% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
30% 70% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
SSC Napoli 3 - 1 Arsenal FC30%
SSC Napoli 0 - 0 Arsenal FC28%
SSC Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal FC28%
SSC Napoli 3 - 0 Arsenal FC25%
SSC Napoli 2 - 3 Arsenal FC25%
SSC Napoli 0 - 2 Arsenal FC12%
SSC Napoli 1 - 1 Arsenal FC10%
SSC Napoli 1 - 0 Arsenal FC9%
SSC Napoli 1 - 2 Arsenal FC4%
SSC Napoli 0 - 3 Arsenal FC3%
Any Other Score2%
SSC Napoli 2 - 0 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 2 - 1 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 1 - 3 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 2 - 2 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 3 - 2 Arsenal FC1%
SSC Napoli 3 - 3 Arsenal FC1%

Market context

SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 21% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-09T19:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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