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Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $176K Liquidity: $562K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Derry City FC O/U 0.5100%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5100%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.590%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half90%
2nd Half O/U 0.590%
2nd Half O/U 1.590%
2nd Half O/U 2.590%
Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.590%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.590%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.590%
Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.510%
Derry City FC (-1.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)0%
Derry City FC (-2.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Derry City FC O/U 1.50%
Derry City FC O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.50%
Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for July 16 at 1:30 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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