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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Football snapshot for "Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Sport Lisboa e Benfica 71% Draw 21% Heart of Midlothian FC 9% Volume: $50K Liquidity: $17K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sport Lisboa e Benfica71%
Draw21%
Heart of Midlothian FC9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, heart of midlothian fc vs. sport lisboa e benfica stands at 71% likelihood according to current market consensus. This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, August 13, 2026 between Heart of Midlothian FC and Sport Lisboa e Benfica.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Sport Lisboa e Benfica at 71% for "Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica".

Sport Lisboa e Benfica 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $50K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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