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UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

How the prediction market is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 75% Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira 74% O/U 1.5 Rounds 57% O/U 2.5 Rounds 47% Volume: $57K Liquidity: $75K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds75%
Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira74%
O/U 1.5 Rounds57%
O/U 2.5 Rounds47%
Fight won by submission?46%
Fight to Go the Distance?38%
Fight won by KO/TKO?23%
Oliveira to win by KO/TKO?9%
Miller to win by KO/TKO?6%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of ufc fight night: juliana miller vs. ravena oliveira (women's flyweight, prelims). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Juliana Miller" if Juliana Miller is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ravena Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, schedu…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 75% for "UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $57K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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