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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)

Football snapshot for "UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Rebecki to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki 0% Volume: $125K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Rebecki to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Prepolec to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to "Kyle Prepolec" if Kyle Prepolec is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 202…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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Related Topics

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