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UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

"UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% O/U 1.5 Rounds 78% O/U 2.5 Rounds 63% Ends before Round 5? 56% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $323K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
O/U 1.5 Rounds78%
O/U 2.5 Rounds63%
Ends before Round 5?56%
Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley55%
Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
O/U 3.5 Rounds49%
Ends before Round 4?42%
O/U 4.5 Rounds41%
Fight won by decision?36%
Decision or Draw36%
Fight to Go the Distance?34%
Buckley to win by KO/TKO?30%
Ends before Round 3?28%
Malott to win by KO/TKO?20%
Fight won by submission?17%
Ends before Round 2?15%
Malott in Round 19%
Buckley in Round 39%
Buckley in Round 49%
Malott in Round 28%
Buckley in Round 18%
Buckley in Round 28%
Buckley in Round 58%
Malott in Round 47%
Malott in Round 36%
Malott in Round 55%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: mike malott vs. joaquin buckley (welterweight, main card) stands at 92% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Mike Malott" if Mike Malott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled fo…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 92% for "UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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