Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Yadong to win by KO/TKO? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Song Yadong, the Chinese bantamweight contender ranked in the UFC's top 15, faces former two-division champion Deiveson Figueiredo on 30 May 2026 in what represents a significant step up in competition for Song. Figueiredo, despite dropping to bantamweight from flyweight, remains one of the division's most accomplished strikers with multiple title runs across weight classes. The matchup carries implications for both fighters' positioning within a crowded 135-pound roster.
The 0% implied probability reflects either a technical settlement issue or genuine uncertainty about fight confirmation rather than market consensus on the outcome. Song has compiled a 6-2 record in the UFC with notable wins over established opponents, whilst Figueiredo's transition to bantamweight introduces variables around his adjustment to the heavier division. Historical precedent suggests former champions moving up weight classes face unpredictable performance shifts; Figueiredo's striking advantage must be weighed against potential durability concerns at 135 pounds where Song operates with natural size advantages.
Traders should monitor official UFC announcements regarding fighter health status and weight-cut complications in the weeks preceding the event. Any injury withdrawals or late replacements would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Figueiredo's recent fight history and conditioning reports from training camps will prove critical, as will confirmation of the bout's main card placement. The settlement window extends to 13 June 2026, providing buffer for any scheduling delays or medical reviews that might affect the official result determination.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $376K.
Methodology
This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Champions League Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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