🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

How the prediction market is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 90% O/U 1.5 Rounds 73% O/U 2.5 Rounds 73% O/U 3.5 Rounds 70% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $126K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
Open live market →
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds90%
O/U 1.5 Rounds73%
O/U 2.5 Rounds73%
O/U 3.5 Rounds70%
Fight to Go the Distance?68%
O/U 4.5 Rounds67%
Fight won by KO/TKO?27%
Nurmagomedov to win by KO/TKO?26%
Fight won by submission?26%
Yadong to win by KO/TKO?24%
Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov18%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to ufc fight night: song yadong vs. umar nurmagomedov (bantamweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 90% for "UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 90% Other 10%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (… on Champions League Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets