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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

How the prediction market is pricing "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $306K Liquidity: $547K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)100%
Match Winner96%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5)10%
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: karmine corp vs paper rex (bo3) - esports world cup group b. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kar…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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