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Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction market is pricing "Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $605K Liquidity: $563K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 2 Winner70%
O/U 2.5 Games69%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)31%
Match Winner28%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team envy vs furia esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 1 at 5:00PM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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