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New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings

How the prediction market is pricing "New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 174.5 56% O/U 175.5 55% New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings 53% Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 52% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $161K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 174.556%
O/U 175.555%
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings53%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.552%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.552%
Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.551%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.551%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 2.551%
O/U 176.551%
Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.551%
O/U 177.551%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.550%
Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 15.550%
Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 13.550%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.550%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.549%
Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 14.549%
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 21.548%
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.546%
Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.546%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.546%
Spread -1.545%
Azzi Fudd: Assists O/U 2.544%
Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.542%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to new york liberty vs. dallas wings. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 16 at 9:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas W…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 174.5 at 56% for "New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings".

O/U 174.5 56% Other 44%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $129K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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