Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 169.5 | 53% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces | 33% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 | 26% |
| Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 | 23% |
| Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 19% |
| O/U 170.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction market currently prices this outcome at 53% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 13 at 10:00PM ET: If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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