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Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova

How the prediction market is pricing "Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 21.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $211K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 21.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 22.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 23.5100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova0%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Peyton Stearns and Nikola Bartunkova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peyton Stea…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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