Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshi

Platform comparison

Market context

Dan Added and Kenta Miyoshi are scheduled to meet on outdoor hard courts in Samsun, with Added the higher-ranked player at ATP 224 against Miyoshi at around ATP 602. The market’s 0% implied YES price sits awkwardly with the shape of the matchup, because the live listings show a completed or in-progress second-round contest rather than a cancelled fixture, and both players are already in the draw for the ATP Challenger event.[1][2][5]

There is no recorded head-to-head, so the cleanest guide is relative level rather than any matchup history.[8] Added arrives with a stronger season on hard courts and a more established ATP profile, while Miyoshi is the lower-ranked qualifier-type entrant, which is the sort of pairing that often leans towards the seeded or higher-ranked player when conditions are standard.[2][10][15] If the market has stayed at 0%, that usually reflects either a stale price or the belief that the named player is highly unlikely to advance in the settlement sense, not necessarily that the match itself is unlikely to be played.

The main catalysts to watch are the official order of play, live scoring status, and any retirement or walkover note, because this market resolves on who advances rather than merely who is on court.[1][3][5] Challenger schedules can shift by court allocation and delays, so a late start, abandonment, or a fixture pushed beyond the seven-day settlement window would change the outcome sharply under the market rules. During the match window, the key dependency is whether either player retires after play begins, as that determines whether a winner is recorded or the market falls back to the 50-50 rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshi. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.