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Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

How the prediction market is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 75% Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 70% Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 68% Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.5 67% Volume: $146K Liquidity: $149K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match75%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.570%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.568%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.567%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.561%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.560%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.559%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.552%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.545%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner44%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.544%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner43%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner43%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.543%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic38%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.535%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.532%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.525%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 75% YES probability for Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic. This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Au…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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