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Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa

How the prediction market is pricing "Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa 100% Completed Match 100% Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 Winner 100% Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $71K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa100%
Completed Match100%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 Winner100%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 Winner100%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 21.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 22.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Taisei Ichikawa in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryuk…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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