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US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

How the prediction market is pricing "US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 77% US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 65% US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 56% US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 54% Volume: $143K Liquidity: $543K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.577%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.565%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.556%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.554%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-3.551%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.544%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner42%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner40%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner40%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien34%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.530%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.528%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.525%

Market context

Market consensus: 77% chance of us open atp: nuno borges vs learner tien. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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Related Topics

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