National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Platform comparison

Market context

Duncan Chan’s side of this match is still a largely low-data proposition, which is why a 0% YES price does not automatically mean the fixture is dead; rather, it reflects how little verifiable ATP-level output sits behind him. ESPN lists Chan at 0-0 in career singles on the main tour, while other tracking sites show only a handful of ITF and lower-tier hard-court results, including a 2025 season built mostly around small events rather than sustained Challenger success.[1][4][8]

That profile matters because comparable markets around young, lower-ranked players often move sharply on late entry changes, protected rankings, or a replacement opponent being named, especially at ATP Masters-level events where the draw can still be adjusted close to start time. Chan’s recent record is hard-court heavy, but the sample is thin enough that any line-up confirmation or withdrawal news can overwhelm form-based modelling; the market is therefore more sensitive to scheduling and eligibility announcements than to long-run statistics.[3][6][16]

For traders, the key catalyst is whether the National Bank Open draws and match order are confirmed as scheduled, or whether either player is pulled from the field before play. Tirante’s own placement in the bracket, plus any late qualifying or alternate movement, will decide whether this becomes a live two-runner match or slips into the market’s non-played 50-50 fallback if it is postponed beyond the settlement window.[2][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.