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Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev

How the prediction market is pricing "Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 97% Volume: $173K Liquidity: $240K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.597%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-3.587%
Completed Match50%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.550%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.550%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.524%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner6%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.55%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev2%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner0%
Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, hangzhou open: kyrian jacquet vs andrey rublev stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Andrey Rublev in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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