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Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi

How the prediction market is pricing "Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $79K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi0%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 1 Winner0%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 2 Winner0%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Match O/U 21.50%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Match O/U 22.50%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Match O/U 23.50%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Viktoria Hruncakova’s meeting with Susan Bandecchi in Warsaw has already been played, and the live price correctly reflects that the match is not carrying real upside at this point: Flashscore records the contest as finished, with Bandecchi winning 2-0 and ranked just behind Hruncakova in the WTA list shown there.[1] SofaScore and Tennis Majors both place the match in Warsaw on outdoor hard court, with the scheduled time on 4 August 2026 and no suggestion of an ongoing suspension or postponement risk in the available match pages.[2][3]

For historical framing, the key read is head-to-head rather than headline ranking. Multiple score providers show Hruncakova leading the rivalry before this meeting, with prior straight-set wins in 2023 and a clay-court win over Bandecchi in May 2026, while Tennis Majors lists the pair at 0-0 on its event page and TennisTemple shows a 2-1 edge for Hruncakova overall.[3][7][13] That split across data feeds is a reminder that prediction markets on tennis can move sharply on late schedule or scoring updates, but in a completed match the only relevant catalyst is the official result feed, not pre-match form narratives.

The practical trader watchlist is thin now: whether the event is confirmed as fully completed in the tournament’s official draw and whether any result correction follows from retirements, walkovers or scoring amendments. The available pages already show the match as finished, so the main dependency is settlement logic if there had been any interruption; under the market rules, a non-played match or one delayed beyond seven days would have gone 50-50, but that is secondary unless an official correction appears before the 10 August window closes.[1][2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchi. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets