Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann

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Market context

Liudmila Samsonova and Jil Teichmann are scheduled to meet in the first round of Roland Garros on 24 May 2026. The 0% implied probability reflects either missing data on current player form or significant uncertainty about match completion given the settlement window closes 31 May—only seven days after the scheduled date, meaning any delay beyond that triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of outcome.

Samsonova has historically dominated this matchup, holding a 3-0 head-to-head record against Teichmann with straight-set victories in all three encounters. Their most recent meeting came at the 2023 Madrid Masters, where Samsonova won 6-2, 6-3. Teichmann has struggled on clay courts relative to hard courts, where her slice-heavy game generates more leverage. The Swiss player's ranking trajectory and injury history through 2025 will be critical; she has experienced recurring shoulder issues that affect her service consistency on slower surfaces.

Traders should monitor official Roland Garros draw confirmations and any late withdrawals or injury declarations from either player in the week preceding the match. Samsonova's form heading into Paris—particularly her results at warm-up events on clay—will signal confidence levels. Weather delays at Roland Garros are common; the tight seven-day settlement window means even a minor scheduling disruption could force a 50-50 resolution. Any announcement regarding Teichmann's physical condition or Samsonova's participation in doubles events (which can affect rest and fatigue) should be tracked closely.

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.