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Who will Trump speak to in July?

"Who will Trump speak to in July?" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 100% Mohammed bin Salman 100% Vladimir Putin 100% Keir Starmer 100% Volume: $275K Liquidity: $187K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Who will Trump speak to in July?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Volodymyr Zelenskyy100%
Mohammed bin Salman100%
Vladimir Putin100%
Keir Starmer100%
Ahmed al-Sharaa100%
Mark Rutte100%
Friedrich Merz100%
Mark Carney100%
Andy Burnham100%
Emmanuel Macron60%
Ursula von der Leyen33%
Lula da Silva7%
Elon Musk4%
Nicolás Maduro1%
Reza Pahlavi1%
Kim Jong Un1%
Xi Jinping1%
Maria Corina Machado1%
Masoud Pezeshkian1%
Pope Leo XIV1%
Miguel Díaz-Canel1%
Yoon Suk Yeol0%
Mojtaba Khamenei0%

Market context

Donald Trump has remained highly visible in July 2026, with a run of public meetings and travel that makes further July encounters plausible, but the market still needs a specific reported conversation to pay out. Reuters reported that he met Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Benjamin Netanyahu on 28 July, and the White House also listed a Cabinet meeting at Camp David on 31 July, showing that his schedule has continued to generate direct in-person contact rather than only staged remarks.[3][12]

The 1% crowd price is consistent with how narrow these markets usually are when the question is about a named person and a one-month window: without a pre-announced meeting, most outcomes fail even when the president is active. Comparable July events this year included the NATO summit in Ankara, where Reuters said Trump was scheduled to meet Zelenskyy and the White House confirmed bilateral sessions, illustrating that confirmed diary items matter far more than general political activity.[7][10] Past late-month White House and summit engagements also show that unexpected add-ons can appear quickly, but they are usually visible first in official schedules or pool reporting.[5][12]

The key catalysts now are any late July/August readouts confirming who was at the Cabinet session, who attended side meetings at Camp David, and whether any July travel produced informal bilateral contact that was later reported. For traders, the most relevant signals are White House releases, pool schedules, and wire copy on Trump’s post-summit or domestic meetings, because Reuters-style event reporting has been the main route to confirming these interactions this month.[1][3][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Who will Trump speak to in July?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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