Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 1?

Platform comparison

Market context

Atlanta’s airport-based high on 1 August 2026 will be decided by the warmest reading at Hartsfield-Jackson, so the relevant trade is whether the day tops out in the low, middle or upper 80s Fahrenheit. With the market currently pricing 0% for **YES**, the burden is on a late-identified, source-specific hot spell to push the recorded maximum into the selected range rather than simply producing a warm afternoon.

For framing, Atlanta’s early-August climatology is firmly in the upper 80s: Discover Atlanta lists an average August high of **88°F**, while Extreme Weather Watch shows an **89.6°F** average high for 1 August and a historical record of **99°F** on that date.[11][3] AccuWeather’s August outlook also points to daytime highs generally in the **mid-to-upper 80s**, which is enough to keep the market sensitive to small forecast shifts rather than requiring an extreme heat event.[2] That makes a 0% price more a statement about current data visibility than about the city’s typical summer profile.

The main catalysts are the near-term airport forecast, cloud cover, and whether afternoon showers or thunderstorms form over north Georgia, because those can shave several degrees off the day’s maximum.[1] The Polymarket page notes that revisions remain possible until the first datapoint for the following date is published, so traders should watch for any post-event adjustments in the Hartsfield-Jackson history feed rather than relying only on the live forecast.[1] If the day trends towards 90°F on the official airport record, the upper outcome bands become more relevant; if cloud cover or convection builds early, the high is more likely to settle in the low 80s.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 1?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.