Highest temperature in Busan on July 28?

Platform comparison

Market context

Gimhae International Airport's weather station will record the highest temperature reached in Busan on 28 July 2026, with settlement determined by Wunderground's historical data for that specific date and location. The market currently shows 0% implied probability across all temperature ranges, suggesting either insufficient trader participation or technical display issues rather than genuine consensus that no temperature will be recorded.

Busan's July climate is consistently hot and humid, with daily highs typically ranging between 28–32°C. Historical records from the past decade show that extreme heat events exceeding 35°C occur sporadically but remain within the realm of possibility during peak summer months. The 2018 heat wave saw Busan reach 34.5°C, whilst more moderate years have settled around 29–30°C. Understanding this variance is essential for calibrating expectations; the absence of trader activity does not reflect meteorological likelihood but rather market liquidity constraints.

Traders should monitor the Korean Meteorological Administration's extended forecast as July 2026 approaches, particularly tracking whether high-pressure systems or tropical weather patterns are expected to influence the peninsula during that week. Gimhae Airport's coastal location moderates extreme temperatures compared to inland regions, though sea-surface conditions and monsoon activity remain critical variables. Any significant weather alerts issued in early July will provide concrete data points for reassessing probability distributions across the temperature bands.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Busan on July 28?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.