Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas will experience peak heat on 13 July 2026, with the settlement hinging on the highest temperature recorded at Love Field Station throughout that calendar day. The National Weather Service designates Love Field as the official observation point for Dallas, making historical records from this specific station the benchmark against which all outcomes will be measured.

July temperatures in Dallas typically peak between 95°F and 100°F, with the city's all-time July record standing at 103°F. Over the past decade, mid-July highs have ranged from 92°F to 99°F, clustering most frequently in the 96–98°F band. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in an exceptionally cool outcome—one that would require either unusual atmospheric conditions or a significant weather system to suppress typical summer heat. Historical precedent shows that temperatures below 90°F on 13 July would constitute a statistical outlier; the station has recorded sub-90°F highs on this date only twice since 1950.

Traders should monitor long-range forecasts beginning in late June, particularly tracking whether tropical systems or upper-level troughs might redirect moisture and cloud cover into North Texas during the settlement window. Heat dome positioning across the southern United States typically becomes clearer in the week before mid-July. The National Weather Service issues extended forecasts at seven to ten days out; any signals of anomalous cooling patterns would shift the probability distribution materially away from the extreme heat ranges currently implied by the market.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.