Highest temperature in Dallas on July 16?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas recorded its peak heat for 16 July 2026 at the Love Field Station, with the day’s highest temperature settling in the 88–89°F range according to Wunderground’s official daily history. This outcome aligns with typical mid-summer conditions for the region, where July averages often hover near 90°F but can dip slightly due to transient cloud cover or moisture from the Gulf.

Historical data from the past decade shows that Dallas Love Field temperatures on 16 July have consistently fallen between 86°F and 92°F, with 88–89°F appearing in three of the last five years. The market’s initial 0% probability for lower ranges like “77°F or below” reflected this strong thermal precedent, while the eventual 100% consensus on 88–89°F demonstrates how quickly traders corrected toward the climatological norm once early readings confirmed the trend.

Traders should monitor real-time Wunderground updates during the settlement window, particularly any sudden shifts in hourly maxima that could signal measurement anomalies. While no formal weather alerts were issued for Dallas on 16 July, local meteorological bulletins from the National Weather Service confirmed stable high-pressure conditions, which typically sustain elevated temperatures without extreme spikes. These dependencies underscore why the market converged decisively on the 88–89°F band rather than venturing into outlier ranges.

Sources: 1

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Dallas on July 16?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.