Highest temperature in Dallas on July 27?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas will experience peak summer heat on 27 July 2026, with the settlement hinging on the highest temperature recorded at Dallas Love Field Station throughout that calendar day. The resolution mechanism pulls directly from Weather Underground's historical database, which archives hourly readings from this official National Weather Service observation point in north-central Dallas.

July temperatures in Dallas typically peak between 95°F and 100°F, with the historical average high around 96°F. The city's record high for any July day stands at 103°F, set in 1954. Over the past decade, July 27 specifically has seen highs ranging from 92°F to 99°F, clustering most frequently in the 96–98°F band. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in either extreme confidence in a specific temperature range or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful odds across the full distribution of possible outcomes.

Traders should monitor the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth forecast as mid-July 2026 approaches, particularly tracking whether high-pressure systems establish over the region or whether tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico influences conditions. Urban heat island effects around the airport station can amplify readings on clear, windless days. Historical precedent indicates that sustained heat domes in late July occasionally push Dallas above 100°F, though such extremes remain statistically uncommon for this particular date.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Dallas on July 27?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.