Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?

Platform comparison

Market context

The underlying event is the highest temperature recorded at Dallas Love Field on 28 June 2026, with current market pricing implying a near-zero chance of the temperature falling into the specific range being offered. This 0% probability suggests the market expects the day’s peak to be significantly higher than the range’s upper bound, likely exceeding 100°F given the seasonal heat profile.

Historical data frames this expectation clearly: the all-time high for Dallas on 28 June is 110°F, recorded in 1980, and recent forecasts for June 2026 at Love Field show daily highs consistently between 96°F and 100°F [2][4]. Even the immediate forecast for 28 June predicts a sunny day with a high of 97°F, while the preceding day (27 June) already reached 96°F [1]. Such consistency in recent years makes a temperature below 90°F on this date highly improbable, reinforcing the market’s bearish stance on lower ranges.

Traders should monitor real-time updates from Wunderground, the official resolution source, as well as National Weather Service hourly data for KDAL, which will confirm the actual peak temperature once the day concludes [3][8]. Any sudden shift in cloud cover, wind patterns, or precipitation could alter the outcome, though current conditions show clear skies and stable high pressure [1][5]. With no major weather disruptions forecast, the 97°F prediction remains the most credible benchmark for settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.