Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?

Platform comparison

Market context

Hong Kong's weather on 19 August 2026 will determine the highest temperature recorded that day by the Hong Kong Observatory, with settlement based on the absolute daily maximum in degrees Celsius published in their Daily Extract database. August sits within Hong Kong's summer monsoon season, typically the hottest and most humid period of the year, with historical daily maxima frequently exceeding 32°C during this month.

Historical August data from the Hong Kong Observatory shows daily maximum temperatures consistently ranging between 31–34°C, with occasional peaks above 35°C during particularly intense heat episodes. The territory's record August high of 36.3°C (set in 2015) illustrates the upper boundary of plausible outcomes, though such extremes remain statistically uncommon. Recent years have seen typical mid-August highs cluster around 32–33°C, providing a baseline against which traders should calibrate their expectations for this specific date.

The settlement window closes on 19 August 2026 at 12:00 UTC, but the market cannot resolve until the Hong Kong Observatory publishes its Daily Extract data for that date, typically released within days of the observation period. Traders should monitor the Observatory's official climate records portal for publication timing, as delays in data release can extend resolution. Tropical cyclone activity, whilst possible in August, would be the primary catalyst for material temperature deviation from seasonal norms, either suppressing highs through cloud cover or intensifying heat through pre-storm conditions.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?

Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.