Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Kuala Lumpur International Airport is forecast to top out in the low 30s Celsius, with Malaysia’s Met Office putting 10 August at a **33°C** maximum and *no rain* across morning, afternoon and night for Kuala Lumpur district.[11] That sits close to the long-run August norm: typical monthly highs are around **30–31°C**, while several history pages place a standard August day nearer **32–33°C** than the upper 30s.[5][9][10]

That framing makes the current crowd view — **0% YES** on a temperature band market — look detached from the climatology unless there is an unusual afternoon surge, because the published August record range is broad but extreme heat is rare and the usual daily high sits well below 35°C.[10] Recent comparable days also point to modest peaks rather than a spike: Weather Underground’s Kuala Lumpur history shows a **91°F** high for the day it tracks, and other recent forecast/history sources cluster around **89–92°F** highs, which is roughly **32–33°C**.[4][8][19]

For traders, the main catalyst is the intraday observation at Kuala Lumpur International Airport, because this market settles off the **Daily Observations** table on Weather Underground rather than the summary “Day High & Low” box.[4] Any late-morning sunshine, a delayed thunderstorm, or a higher-than-expected airport reading could still move the final band, so the key watchpoint is whether the station prints a temperature above the mid-30s Celsius before the settlement window closes.[11][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 10?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

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