Highest temperature in Seattle on July 22?

Platform comparison

Market context

Seattle has already been through its hottest stretch of the week, and the relevant question is where the airport maximum lands once the day’s heat has fully played out. For this market, the settlement source is the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport station on Wunderground, so the key number is the single highest reading posted there on 22 July, not the average or the evening temperature. [1]

The current crowd view leaves **92–93°F** as the clear front-runner at 45%, with **90–91°F** next at 24%, which implies traders are still leaning towards a strong but not extreme peak rather than a runaway heat spike. That framing fits a summer setup in which small shifts in cloud cover, marine influence, or timing of the warmest inland push can move the final band by a degree or two. Current Seattle conditions are already warm, with AccuWeather showing **70°F** and mostly clear skies, so traders are effectively judging whether the day’s peak stayed close to the low-90s or nudged higher. [1][2]

The main catalysts are the local forecast updates, any late heat-advisory wording, and whether the marine layer weakens enough for the airport to briefly outperform surrounding city readings. Seattle has seen recent record-high episodes during western Washington heat events, including widespread heat-advisory conditions reported by the Seattle Times, so past spikes show the market can gap quickly when high pressure aligns with dry, sunny conditions. [3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Seattle on July 22?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

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Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.