Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?

Platform comparison

Market context

Incheon’s airport station is facing a proper summer heat set-up, with Seoul’s daytime high forecast at 38°C and official heat-wave warnings already in force across the capital area. That matters because the market resolves on the *highest* temperature at Incheon Intl Airport Station, not the city centre, so traders should expect the airport to track the same broad regional heat but often land a touch lower than Seoul proper if the sea breeze or a passing shower clips the peak.[1][2][15]

The historical frame points away from the current 0% YES price. August is routinely one of the hottest periods in Seoul, with average highs around 28–30°C and long-run August record highs reaching 38.2°C, so a low-30s outcome is the baseline rather than an outlier.[15][18][19] Recent comparable forecasts still cluster in the low to mid-30s for the city area, with some sources showing 33–38°C and others nearer 31–33°C, which is consistent with a hot but not extreme day and leaves the upper-30s band as the key risk if cloud cover stays light.[1][3][4][6]

For traders, the main catalysts are the morning and early-afternoon updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and any fresh mention of showers or western-region cloud, because those are the factors most likely to shave the daily maximum.[7][11] The SBS forecast says the heat is expected to persist “day and night” and specifically flags 38°C in Seoul with showers in parts of the west, which supports a high-temperature regime but also leaves room for a lower airport reading if precipitation develops locally.[1]൰

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

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