Highest temperature in Seoul on June 29?

Platform comparison

Market context

Seoul is entering early summer on 29 June 2026, with temperatures typically ranging from 19°C to 28°C and humidity rising toward the monsoon season that begins late June. The market’s 19% YES probability for a high temperature above the implied threshold reflects the historical norm that late June in Seoul rarely exceeds 30°C, though isolated spikes have occurred.

Historical data shows the highest June temperature in Seoul reached 34.0°C on 19 June 2026, while the lowest minimum was 15.6°C on 6 June[7]. Most days stay within 19–28°C, with only about seven rainy days in the month, and heat remains manageable compared to July’s average high of 30°C[1][6]. The current probability aligns with the pattern that extreme heat is uncommon before mid-July, making a breakout above 30°C a low-probability event.

Traders should monitor real-time updates from Wunderground for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, as sudden convective heat or clear-sky conditions could push temperatures higher. The Korea Meteorological Administration notes that daytime highs are recorded between 3 AM and 9 AM for lows, and the highest for daytime peaks[4]. With no major weather disruptions forecast, the settlement will depend on whether a brief heat surge coincides with the day’s peak solar intensity.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Seoul on June 29?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.