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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 8?

Five-platform snapshot of "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 8?" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $149K Liquidity: $64K Closes: 8 Jun 2026
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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 8?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Champions League Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Champions League Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Champions League Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Champions League Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Champions League Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Champions League Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.

Active sub-markets

18°C or below0% YES100% NO
19°C0% YES100% NO
20°C0% YES100% NO
21°C0% YES100% NO
22°C0% YES100% NO
23°C13% YES88% NO

Market context

Seoul's weather on 8 June 2026 will be measured at Incheon International Airport Station, with the market settling on whichever temperature band captures the day's high. The settlement window closes at midday UTC, meaning the resolution depends on conditions recorded up to that point in Seoul's local time.

Early June in Seoul typically sits in the warm-to-hot range. Historical data from Incheon shows average highs around 24–26°C for early June, though the station regularly records peaks of 28–30°C during this period. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either awaiting clarity on the specific temperature bands available or treating this as a placeholder market pending fuller information. Comparable June days at Incheon have produced highs spanning from the low 20s during cooler, wetter spells to the low 30s during anticyclonic conditions.

The Korea Meteorological Administration issues forecasts several days ahead; traders should monitor their 5–7 day outlook as the settlement date approaches for signals of high-pressure systems or frontal activity that would push temperatures toward the upper or lower end of the typical range. Incheon's coastal location moderates extremes compared to inland Seoul, and early June precipitation patterns—often influenced by pre-monsoon moisture—can suppress daytime highs. The exact temperature bands offered in this market will determine which outcomes carry genuine probability once they are specified.

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in Seoul on June 8? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Champions League Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?
Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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