Highest temperature in Taipei on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Taipei’s afternoon peak on 10 August is usually high enough that the market’s current 0% YES implies an extreme miss versus normal climatology rather than a mild forecasting error. Recent guides put the city’s early-August high around 33°C to 34°C, with daily lows near 26°C to 27°C, while Weather Spark and Time and Date show August as a persistently hot, humid month rather than a cool seasonal transition.[2][9][12][15] For this date specifically, one source lists an average high of 32.8°C and a record high of 38.0°C, which shows that the relevant resolution band is typically well inside the low-to-mid 30s unless there is unusual rain or cloud cover suppressing daytime heating.[2]

The key catalysts are the same ones that move any Taipei heat market: convective showers, thunderstorms and typhoon-related cloud bands, plus the exact timing of the station’s late-afternoon observation window. Forecasts published for 10 August pointed to showery or thundery conditions, with AccuWeather and Time and Date both indicating rain risk and highs around 92°F to 93°F, while another forecast source showed roughly 27°C to 34°C with overcast skies.[6][8][5] Because settlement uses Weather Underground’s Daily Observations table for Taipei Songshan Airport Station, traders should watch intraday station readings rather than citywide summaries, since the settlement value depends on the single highest temperature logged there before noon UTC cut-off.[Market description]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Taipei on August 10?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?

Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.