Highest temperature in Wellington on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Wellington Airport’s highest temperature on 10 August will be set by what lands in Weather Underground’s **Daily Observations** table, not the summary box, so the live intraday trend matters more than the headline daily high. Wellington’s August climate is usually cool and steady, with average highs around 11–12°C and most days clustering close to 12°C, which makes the market’s 0% YES pricing look consistent with a low-variance winter profile rather than a day of obvious upside. [1][2][6][7]

Recent Wellington August history shows why traders should treat mid-teens Celsius as possible but not routine: the monthly record high cited by climate-history sources is 15.8°C, while comparable August daily highs commonly sit near 10–13°C and can be held down by wind, rain, and cloud. Weather Underground’s recent daily observations for 1–8 August 2026 have already shown a spread from 48°F to 61°F, which underlines that the station can still post a warmer-than-average day even inside a generally cool month. [7][10][11]

For the remaining settlement window, the main catalysts are the next observation cycle at Wellington Intl Airport, any short-lived clearing, and whether stronger onshore flow or rain keeps the airport high pinned near the low teens Celsius. NIWA’s August 2025 summary described Wellington as the wettest and least sunny of the main centres, reinforcing how quickly cloud and precipitation can suppress daytime maxima in this city; if Weather Underground updates the daily table with a subdued high rather than a brief warm spike, that will be the figure that matters for resolution. [15][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Wellington on August 10?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

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